Saturday, January 19, 2008
Giuliani: A terribly wise or terribly stupid move?
Things aren't looking well for Mr. Guiliani in this GOP campaign race. Not only has Ron Paul beaten him twice in the exit polls for the last two primaries, but by ignoring these earlier primaries, he may have just put all of his eggs into one basket (that basket being Florida). Although he did manage to pull in 9% from the New Hampshire Primary, that puts only a little flicker of hope for his campaign. If the sunshine state doesn't pull through (and completely turn the tables) for him, it may be all over for his campaign. But of course, what I think doesn't mean jack, so take this with a HUGE grain of salt.
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2 comments:
If Guliani wins, he can say "Hey, this is what I was planning all along, and it worked!" That will, at the very least, put him on equal footing with Romney, McCain, etc. If he loses, he really doesn't have much hope... when a candidate bases their whole strategy on one state, and then loses it, would you vote for them?
(Hopefully you would vote based on their policies, experience, etc., but we all know how that works...)
Anyway, at the very least, Guliani is close.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/fl/florida_republican_primary-260.html
So far the breakdown of how many delegates each person has is:
Democrats:
Obama:38
Clinton:36
Edwards:18
Republicans:
Romney:59
Huckabee:39
McCain:36
Thompson:5
Paul: 4
Hunter:2
Giuliani:1
Florida has 57 Republican delegates, so even if Giuliani wins all of the delegates he still wont have the most...but he'll be back in the game. My guess is that he wont get all the delegates and will have to drop out of the race, if not after Florida then maybe after a few more states. But thats just a guess.
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