Wednesday, February 20, 2008

Change We Can Believe In

"Obamania, Barackracy, Barackstar, Obamanation". "Just words?" I think not. These are only a handful of words from "The Encyclopedia Baracktannica", as created by Slate.com writer Chris Wilson. After eleven straight victories, it does not come as a surprise that "Obamania" is in full swing.

Barack Obama's victories in Wisconsin and Hawaii this past week have helped cement his place as the front-runner to be the Democratic nominee for this November's elections. A day after being accused of plagiarism, Obama overcame these allegations that could have derailed his campaign. His victory in Wisconsin has proved to not only be benefitting his cause, but also severely hurting Senator Clinton's chances at winning the nomination. CNN's estimate of exit polls from Wisconsin show Obama recieving 56% of the vote from those aged 45-59, one of Senator Clinton's core constituencies in earlier voting. Senator Obama was expected to win easily in Hawaii because it is his home state. Obama has performed very well at caucuses this year because he is able to rally together large numbers of people. Since Senator Obama has been winning by such substantial margins, his lead over Senator Clinton is widening to a point where many insiders believe that it could be too late for Clinton to mount a comeback.

The next elections will be held on March 4, with the two big prizes being Ohio and Texas, which have a combined 389 delegates at stake. Clinton seems to have an early advantage in these two states, but a "Baracklamation" that sways voters in his direction is never out of the question.

With around 16 elections left to go, does Senator Clinton have a legitimate chance to mount a comeback? Why or why not? Do you see the plagiarism accusation being problematic for Senator Obama in later elections? Why or why not?

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

I don't think that the issue of plagiarism will hinder Obama's campaign or support. I was reading in the New York Times that Hillary Clinton has "plagiarized" as well by using several phrases VERY similar to those used by her husband, Bill Clinton. Also, both Clinton and Obama have used phrases from John McCain, so I think that people are going to view this "plagiarism" as a minor aspect of the campaign, considering that both Democratic candidates have "borrowed" phrases and until now, nobody seems to have noticed/cared.

Anonymous said...

I think Obama is certainly the favorite in the democratic primaries. Hillary still has a puncher's chance, but she is on her last legs.

Ryan Landis said...

One month ago Clinton was beating Obama by the same amount. Now I know that there are less states to come now, but can one ever count someone out if they are that close? If Hilliary pulls out a decent victory in these two upcoming states she can easily take the lead. Its not over till its over.